Demand forecasting — Dairy
Probabilistic forecasts at SKU and store level, feeding replenishment. Delivered for a dairy client in Bharuch.
- Location
- Bharuch
- Year
- 2024
- Duration
- 29 weeks
- Team
- 5 engineers
- −21%
- forecast error
- −47%
- stock-outs
- 9k
- SKUs modelled
The challenge
The dairy team was relying on manual effort that could not keep up with volume, and every miss had a direct cost.
What we built
A phased rollout: a measured pilot first, then scale-out. The core runs on LightGBM with Prophet, integrated into existing systems through Airflow.
Delivery timeline
Phase 1
Discovery sprint and site survey
Phase 2
Prototype built and tested in the Motera lab
Phase 3
Pilot on site with before/after measurement
Phase 4
Scale-out, training and handover
Highlights
- Integrated with existing PLC, ERP or GIS systems — no rip-and-replace
- Designed, built and supported from Motera, Ahmedabad
- Operator training delivered in Gujarati, Hindi and English
- Before-and-after measurements agreed with the client up front
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